The focus of the blog is on the economic and financial uncertainties that the world economies will face over the next five years along with demonstrating how investors can profit and survive during the upcoming manipulated economic chaos.
Please keep-in-mind that I don't provide investment advice. I am simply posting what my investment views of the market happen to be. Your investment decisions are solely your own responsibility.
Thanks to the "Contrary Investor" for the following chart on the Halloween performance over the past 56 years. Wow!
With the raw data, I calculated the mean return, standard deviation, and the coefficient of variation. The results are as follows: May/October had a mean return of 1.52%, standard deviation of 8.55%, and a coefficient of variation of 5.64. November/April had a mean return of 7.30%, standard deviation of 10.08%, and a coefficient of variation of 1.38. Finally, a Buy/Hold strategy had a mean return of 0.74%, standard deviation of 4.07%, and a coefficient of 5.53. Any questions about the power of seasonality within the stock market? I didn't think so. Another way of looking at the above performance is as follows: "One dollar invested in 1950 using only November through April investment periods each year has grown to just shy of $43 today. Alternatively, one dollar invested only in the May through October periods since 1950 is today worth less than $2."