In the Keynesian Demand Model, personal consumption expenditures, which accounts for something like 70% of GDP, are primarily determined by one's disposable income. Since real salaries and wages have been declining for the past eight years, this is one reason why GDP's growth has been so anemic. Realizing what has been happening to salaries and wages, the Fed has increasing relied on asset inflation (stock market) to make the consumer feel wealthier (wealth effect) and, of course, feel more comfortable with one's personal financial well being. If individuals feel wealthier due to the rise in the stock market, then, the model predicts that the consumption function, buying by consumers, would shift upward causing GDP to increase. Bad news from the above chart is that the Consumer Comfort Index is diverging from the stock market, which calls into question the positive impact of the so-called wealth effect on the economy.
The focus of the blog is on the economic and financial uncertainties that the world economies will face over the next five years along with demonstrating how investors can profit and survive during the upcoming manipulated economic chaos. Please keep-in-mind that I don't provide investment advice. I am simply posting what my investment views of the market happen to be. Your investment decisions are solely your own responsibility.
Thursday, March 31, 2016
Friday, March 25, 2016
NATO's Defense Expenditures
For 2015, NATO's defense expenditures amounted to $900,473,000,000. Our part of the $900+ billion was $649,931,000,000, or 72% of NATO"s defense expenditures. In regard to the percentage of our GDP, that mounts to 3.62%. I don't know about you, but I definitely believe that 27 member NATO countries should take on a greater percentage of the financial burden. (Currently, there are 28 members of NATO, including the United States.) I am not saying that the United States should get out of NATO. Simply saying, that it is about time that 27 countries need to take on a greater financial responsibility for their own defense. Let's cut our financial support in half. Our domestic economy could use $325 billion on its home front to defend our borders.
Thursday, March 24, 2016
Friday, March 18, 2016
Wednesday, March 16, 2016
Sunday, March 06, 2016
Wednesday, March 02, 2016
Tuesday, March 01, 2016
Saturday, February 27, 2016
Friday, February 26, 2016
Thursday, February 25, 2016
Wednesday, February 24, 2016
45% of Americans Pay "NO INCOME TAXES"
According to the Tax Policy Center, which is a joint project with the Urban Institute and Brookings Institute, approximately 77.5 million individuals will pay no federal individual income tax for the 2015 tax year. I don't know about you, but I believe everyone should have some skin in the game, even if it is nothing more than $5. Saying that, I am a strong proponent of the Fair Tax.
Friday, February 19, 2016
Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Monopoly Game Goes "Cashless"
The game company is preparing our children for a "cashless society." Most young adults today are already in a cashless environment with the use of their debit cards. A cashless society is closer than most of us realize.
We will soon see the end of the $100 note and probably the $50 note in support of the removal of the 500 Euro note. We went from $10,000 bill to $100 bill without even a whisper from society.
Thought for the day: "You may want to consider swapping your $50 and $100 notes for $20 notes while you still can."
Thought for the day: "You may want to consider swapping your $50 and $100 notes for $20 notes while you still can."
Friday, February 12, 2016
Abject Failure of Quantitative Easing, Now Negative Interest Rates
According to Bank of America, this has been the results of all this Central Bank quantitative easing:
- 637 interest rate cuts over the past eight years
- $12.3 trillion of asset purchases by global central banks in the past 8 years
- $8.3 trillon of global government debt currently yielding 0% or less
- 489 million people currently living in countries with official negative rates policies (i.e. Japan, Eurozone, Switzerland, Sweden, Denmark)-0.92%, the most negative yield in the world (2-year Swiss government bond).
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