Thursday, October 26, 2006

Halloween Indicator

The stock market is now entering what has historically been the strongest half of the year. The following chart, which is from "Chart of the Day," illustrates that investing in the S&P 500 from the last trading day in October, which is why it is referred to as the Halloween indicator, through the end of April accounted for the vast majority of S&P 500 gains since 1950. While there are some noteworthy periods in which the Halloween indicator didn't produce (i.e. 1973-74 & 2000-01), the overall performance is compelling. Therefore, on Tuesday, October 31, buy the S&P 500 Index and hold it until the last trading day of April, which is the 30. Place the proceeds in a "Money Market Account" until the last trading day in October 2007. Perfect formula for worry-free investing. And who said that investing is difficult. Trick or treat, anyone!



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