Friday, November 16, 2012

Wal-Mart: Is the Top in Place?

Wal-Mart (WMT) missed its revenue expectations for the quarter of $114.9 billion when it reported revenues of $113.9 billion.  And, of course, the market did not like it. Stock is off 4%+.  WMT, also, lowered its EPS from $4.94 to a lower range of $4.88. 

My immediate assessment for WMT is another 10% correction in price to $61 from its current level of $68.  As the bear case takes hold, WMT looks like a $53 stock, or 23% from the current levels.  Eventually, over the next couple of years, WMT should take out its February 2009 low at $42, which is a decline of approximately 40% from its current price of $68.  And, it would not surprise me to see WMT trading below $35.  (See the following chart.)


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