The focus of the blog is on the economic and financial uncertainties that the world economies will face over the next five years along with demonstrating how investors can profit and survive during the upcoming manipulated economic chaos. Please keep-in-mind that I don't provide investment advice. I am simply posting what my investment views of the market happen to be. Your investment decisions are solely your own responsibility.
Monday, September 08, 2008
GDP: Growth Adjusted Upward by 3.3% for Second Quarter
The initial version for second-quarter GDP growth was an increase of 1.9%. This growth was revised upward to a very robust 3.3%. Should one start singing "Happy Days are Here Again?" I for one will not start singing the chorus. The key to the revised figure is the "GDP deflator," which is a macro inflationary statistic. (Side Bar: The lower the deflator, the greater the growth of GDP will be.) Now, according to this deflator (inflationary measure), inflation grew at only 1.33% during the second quarter. Does anyone believe that? John Williams of the Shadow Government Statistics points out that the supposed 1.33% increase would represent the lowest inflation rate in five years. Interesting that the CPI number for the same quarter was up 8%! I guess the two computers that measure the GDP deflator and CPI numbers don't communicate with each other. By John's calculations, the GDP would have contracted by 2.9% year-over-year.
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