Saturday, September 20, 2008

SEC and Financial Leverage

Want to get really mad? Up until 2003, all investment banks were allowed only 12 to 1 leverage (Equity Multiplier). If you recall from our session last week, that a leverage factor of 12 means that asset values would have to decline in value by only 8.3% to completely wipe out a firm's capital (net worth). Then in 2004, the SEC basically gave just five investment banks the ability to leverage up to 30 or even 40 to 1. At 40 to 1, asset values would only have to decline by 2.5% to completely wipe out a firms capital. Anyone want to place a bet on naming those five investment banks? They were Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sacs. (Three down and two to go)

Barry Ritholtz wrote in the Big Picture: "So while the SEC runs around reinstating short selling rules, and clueless pension fund managers mindlessly point to the wrong issue, we learn that it was the SEC who was in large part responsible for the reckless financial leverage that led to the current crisis." (Don't get me started on blaming the short sellers. Let's put the blame on where it directly belongs. That is the SEC for allowing investment banks to increase their leverage and the individuals who leveraged their companies 40 to 1 with bad investments to enhance profits.)

What the SEC has to do immediately is to have all investment banks reduce their leverage factor to the pre-2004 level of 12:1 from the current 30-40:1.

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